Rule: the more someone is ignorant about a field, the bigger their claims about "AI will replace every professional!"

I frequently read big claims such as "software engineers are cooked", "graphic designers have no future", and so on. If there's obviously impact of AI developments on people working in the field, both positively (occasional productivity gains) and negatively (AI makes it harder for new people to land in the field?), big claims like "in 5 years most people in this profession will be replaced by AI" are rarely driven by a true knowledge of the field.

These days you hear the same thing about cinema. Now that Google veo3 generates very realistic videos, so Hollywood is supposed to be over. Again, this is ignorance more than insightful prediction. A realistic image alone doesn't make a good movie.

The individual performance of an "actor" has to match the context of the plot, convey a subtle emotion (sometimes with the eyes or just the way they breathe), or sometimes, resort to creativity to re-invent the role (do you think Pirates of the Caribbean would have been as fun if played by an AI?). AI can fake the appearance of this very well, but the last mile is what matters the most and we're absolutely not there.